Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling - Mauricio Suárez

Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling

Buch | Softcover
75 Seiten
2021
Cambridge University Press (Verlag)
978-1-108-98494-2 (ISBN)
21,20 inkl. MwSt
This Element offers an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability and an analytical focus on objective probability. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application, introducing a radical form of pluralism and exploring this in statistical modelling.
This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (sections 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the 'complex nexus of chance'.

Introduction; 1. The Archaeology of Probability; 2. The Classical Interpretation: Equipossibility; 3. The Logical Interpretation: Indifference; 4. The Subjective Interpretation: Credence; 5. The Reality of Chance: Empiricism and Pragmatism; 6. The Frequency Interpretation: Actual and Hypothetical Frequencies; 7. The Propensity Interpretation: Single Case and Long Run; 8. Interpreting and Applying Objective Probability; 9. The Explanatory Argument and Ontology; 10. Metaphysical Pluralism: The Tripartite Conception; 11. Methodological Pragmatism: The Complex Nexus of Chance; 12. Two Types of Statistical Modelling; 13. Towards a Methodology of Chance Explanation.

Erscheinungsdatum
Reihe/Serie Elements in the Philosophy of Science
Zusatzinfo Worked examples or Exercises
Verlagsort Cambridge
Sprache englisch
Maße 151 x 229 mm
Gewicht 130 g
Themenwelt Geisteswissenschaften Geschichte
Geisteswissenschaften Philosophie
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Statistik
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Wahrscheinlichkeit / Kombinatorik
ISBN-10 1-108-98494-0 / 1108984940
ISBN-13 978-1-108-98494-2 / 9781108984942
Zustand Neuware
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