Adapting to an Uncertain Climate

1. Introduction to the Use of Uncertainties to Inform Adaptation Decisions

1.1 Why Is Guidance on the Role of Uncertainty Needed and Who Is It For?

1.2 Why Is It Important to Include Uncertainties in Adaptation Planning?

1.3 What Information Is Included in This Book and Where Can I Find It?

1.4 How Can This Publication Be Used?

Suggested Readings

2. Background On Uncertainty Assessment Supporting Climate Adaptation Decision-Making

2.1 Introduction

2.2 Uncertainties in Climate Change

2.3 Uncertainty Typology

2.4 Methods of Assessing Uncertainty

2.5 Decision-Making Frameworks Under Climate Change Uncertainty

2.6 Using Uncertainty Assessment in Decision-Making Practice On Climate Adaptation

2.7 Cases, Types of Uncertainty, and Methods As Used in Chapter 4

2.8 Communicating Uncertainty Assessment To Policy-Makers and Decision-Makers

2.9 Conclusions

3. How Is Uncertainty Addressed in the Knowledge Base For National Adaptation Planning?

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Overview of National Adaptation Activities
3.3 Consideration of Uncertainty in the Knowledge Base For Adaptation

3.4 Conclusions

4. Showcasing Practitioners' Experiences

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Real Life Case Studies

5. Making Adaptation Decisions Under Uncertainty - Lessons From Theory And Practice

5.1 Introduction

5.2 A New Support Framework For Adaptation Decisions Under Uncertainty

5.3 What Has Practice Shown Us?

5.4 Dealing With Uncertainty in Adaptation Decision-Making

5.5 Guidance and Recommendations

5.6 Final Remarks

Index

This book successfully reframes uncertainty as a normal part of decision-making. It provides policy developers and advisors, researchers, and practitioners with a valuable framework within which uncertainty can be recognized, communicated, and incorporated into adaptation planning. ... Overall, Adapting to an Uncertain Climate will be a useful resource for anyone involved in the emerging field of adaptation ... ." (R. M. B. Harris, The Quarterly Review of Biology, Vol. 91 (1), March, 2016)