The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process
Project Management in Prevention and Support
Seiten
2023
|
1st ed. 2023
Springer International Publishing (Verlag)
978-3-031-31189-5 (ISBN)
Springer International Publishing (Verlag)
978-3-031-31189-5 (ISBN)
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With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave".
lt;b>Marcus Hellwig is a quality manager as qualified by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of specialist books.
Occasion, derived from a letter to the editor.- Objectives.- SIR model as a basis for a probabilistic model.- Introduction: Consideration of an infection interval for a federal state.- The "infection curve" I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb density function.- Random ranges of NV and Eqb.- Presentation of the equibalance distribution, Eqb.- Infection management in connection with the course of the incidence.- Infection, avoidance and healing process, feedback.- Representation of a process management.- Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology.- Summary.
| Erscheint lt. Verlag | 28.7.2023 |
|---|---|
| Reihe/Serie | essentials | Springer essentials |
| Zusatzinfo | XII, 77 p. 48 illus. |
| Verlagsort | Cham |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Maße | 148 x 210 mm |
| Themenwelt | Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik ► Wahrscheinlichkeit / Kombinatorik |
| Studium ► Querschnittsbereiche ► Prävention / Gesundheitsförderung | |
| Schlagworte | Probability Theory • Public Health • Statistics • Stochastic Systems • Virology |
| ISBN-10 | 3-031-31189-2 / 3031311892 |
| ISBN-13 | 978-3-031-31189-5 / 9783031311895 |
| Zustand | Neuware |
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